Goldman Sachs: Expects Bank of England to Hold Rates, Sees Faster Cut to 3%

Article is form Jinse
September 19, 2024
This article is translated by ChatGPT Show original
Back Icon Image

Goldman Sachs expects the Bank of England to vote 7-2 to keep interest rates unchanged, without clear guidance on future paths. The APF is expected to reduce holdings by £100 billion. A series of interest rate cuts from November 2024 to August 2025 is projected to bring rates to 3.00%, with a 40% probability in this base case scenario. This is an earlier projection than the previous estimate of reaching 3.00% by August 2026. Goldman Sachs highlights three reasons for adjusting their outlook: increased confidence that wage growth will cool significantly in the coming months, the possibility of inflation accelerating significantly in 2025, the simple Taylor rule pointing towards faster normalization, and the fact that most developed central banks will be cutting rates in a series.

Back Icon Image
Source
1. Disclaimer: The views expressed are solely those of the author and do not reflect the stance of Gen3. They are not intended as investment advice.
2. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as investment or other advice.