Fed Lowers 2024 Core PCE Inflation Forecast to 2.6%
The Federal Reserve expects core PCE inflation to be 2.6% in 2024, with a June projection of 2.8%. For 2025, they project core PCE inflation at 2.2%, with a June estimate of 2.3%. In 2026, core PCE inflation is expected to be 2.0%, with a June projection of 2.0%. Finally, they project 2.0% core PCE inflation for 2027.
The Fed expects overall PCE inflation to be 2.3% in 2024, with a June estimate of 2.6%. For 2025, they project PCE inflation at 2.1%, with a June estimate of 2.3%. In 2026, PCE inflation is expected to be 2.0%, with a June projection of 2.0%. Finally, they project 2.0% PCE inflation for 2027.
The Fed also projects PCE inflation to be 2.0% in the longer term, with a June projection of 2.0%.