Harris Wins Probability Surpasses Trump on Polymarket

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September 12, 2024
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According to Polymarket, a prediction market, Kamala Harris's chances of winning the 2024 US presidential election have risen to 50%, surpassing Donald Trump (49%).

Previously, on September 11, Elon Musk commented that while Harris's debate performance exceeded expectations, he still believes Trump would be better in the actual job. Musk questioned, "If Harris could achieve greatness, why haven't we seen it yet?" He noted that due to President Biden's low work frequency, Harris effectively holds significant power. Musk simplified the choice for voters: whether they want to continue the current trend for another four years or seek change.

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